Analysts at Credit Suisse First Boston have recently commented on whatthey perceive as the best stock picks for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries in 1998 in a conference call. Three pharmaceutical stocks were singled out for attention, with one European company being chosen by London-based analyst Genghis Lloyd-Harris.
Mr Lloyd-Harris said that his favorite stock, using value-based analysis, was Sweden's Astra, which he argues was significantly undervalued, as it trades at a 35%-40% discount to its peers due to concerns over patent expiry for its blockbuster antiulcer drug Losec (omeprazole). The analyst claimed that Astra is "an outstanding value-creating company," with or without Losec, and would still have had the pharmaceutical sector's 10th-highest return on invested capital of 21% in 1996 without the drug.
Astra - Strong In R&D Furthermore, Mr Lloyd-Harris argues that Astra is a research-driven group with an R&D budget of over $1 billion and that products such as Atacand (candesartan cilexetil) and Oxis (formoterol; see Marketletter February 2) "should cushion Losec's decline." He added that the unveiling of perprazole, a single-isomer version of omeprazole, could make Losec's patent expiry a moot point if Astra can convincingly demonstrate the former's superiority.
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