The US generic drug market shrank in terms of sales value from $34.0 billion to $33.0 billion in the year to September 2008, according to IMS Health data (Marketletter January 5&12), despite a 5.4% volume growth in the same period. The 2.4% spending cut on unbranded prescription medicines reflects the considerable amount of competition between retailers in this area. Overall, the share of copycat drugs has now reached almost 64% of all prescriptions filled, prompting analysts to forecast that pharmaceuticals will be the slowest expanding element of health care costs in the next five years.
Murray Aitken, senior vice president of the health information company, said that worldwide trends were a contributing factor: "the global generics market has posted double-digit gains in recent years. But in 2008, despite robust volume increases, we are seeing the first significant decline in sales growth as manufacturers increasingly compete in fierce price battles within most of the world's major markets." He added that "aggressive competition and cost-containment measures, enforced by both private and government payers," are factors in the USA.
Up to 20 generic firms chase copy opportunity
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