The US recession, to which the National Bureau of Economic Research has recently admitted, started in 2007. According to the definition used by the US authorities, figures for direct-to-consumer advertising by the pharmaceutical industry began to decline in the 2006-2007 period, suggesting that the recession in the drug sector began earlier.
DTC advertising by drugmakers reached a peak of $5.4 billion in 2006, falling back to $5.2 billion the following year. Estimates for 2008 are at $4.7 billion (about the same level as in 2005), while next year could be as low as $4.2 billion, John Mack, the editor of Pharma Marketing News, believes.
However, the figures make no allowance for drug industry-specific or technology issues that might affect DTC communication as a marketing strategy. In November 2006, the Democrats won congressional elections and indicated their intention to curb what they considered "excesses" by drugmakers (Marketletters passim). To a certain extent, a lower profile by the big pharmaceutical companies might be simply smart politics.
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